Last season, the majority of the media (including myself) predicted Carl Edwards would win the 2009 Sprint Cup title.
Think about that for a second: Jimmie Johnson was coming off his third consecutive championship, and most reporters picked someone else.
What were we thinking?
Edwards, meanwhile, didn’t even win a race or come close to winning the title, even though he made the Chase.
So when I asked Edwards on Tuesday whether I should pick him for a top finish in the standings again this season, he couldn’t quite offer his assurances.
“Man…” he said, thinking for a moment. “You were really good to me last year. I just don’t know, man. We’ll know after Bristol. If you’re running well then, you’re good.”
So I should wait to predict until then?
“Yeah,” Edwards advised. “You should.”
I doubt I could get away with waiting that long to make my Chase picks, but Edwards’ point was this: Sports are unpredictable, and it comes down to performance, not guesses.
That being said, Edwards was certain he would improve on last season’s results.
Why?
“Because we were so bad last year,” he said. “The things we did last year that didn’t work? We won’t do those things this year. We’ve kind of narrowed down our focus.”
Edwards said “the one thing for sure that’s going to make me faster” is an improved pit crew. The No. 99 team has shored up a couple positions, and Edwards said he can already tell a difference in pit practice.
“A guy can win a race and never pass cars on the racetrack, just pass cars on pit road,” he said. “And you can lose a race that way, too.”
The other factor is team owner Jack Roush’s continued assertion that the team has found something new and innovative that it lacked last season (Roush, in fact, has been borderline gleeful in hinting at the discovery this week).
Edwards wouldn’t get into much detail about them for obvious reasons but said he was excited.
“There’s a couple little things like that, but there’s a couple things that might be bigger things,” he said vaguely. “We’ll just have to see.”
Sounds like I should wait at least another week to make my predictions.